Business news 28 July 2025
Big companies to put supplier payment times in their reports. Economy set to exceed growth forecasts but in a ‘doom loop’ and facing significant challenges. Tax raid has hit the jobs market. Wealthy warned that tax hikes are likely. Pensions, Retail, markets, insolvencies & more business news that we thought would interest our members.
James Salmon, Operations Director.
📒Big companies to put supplier payment times in their reports
The Financial Times reports that UK companies with more than 250 employees ( that also meet two of: £54m turnover, £27m balance sheet total) will be required to report payment practices to combat late payments, with audit committees to be given greater responsibility for ensuring management addresses the matter.
Since April 2017, large UK companies have had to report on payment practices and performance twice a year via a government portal. The key shift is that from 2025 onward, payment performance data must be embedded in directors’ reports, subject to board-level scrutiny, rather than solely on a government portal. This aims to increase accountability and deter poor payment behavior
This measure forms part of a small business strategy, expected in August 2025, led by Business Secretary Jonathan Reynolds, to tackle late payments and improve transparency.
The draft legislation is titled “Companies (directors’ report payment reporting) regulations 2025” and is expected to be debated in Autumn 2025.
The government’s move to require large companies to report payment times in their annual directors’ reports is a welcome development for small and medium-sized enterprises (SMEs). For too long, late payments from big businesses have strained the cash flow of smaller suppliers, putting many at risk of financial instability. By bringing payment practices under the scrutiny of board-level reporting—and embedding them in formal, audited accounts—this reform raises the stakes for late-paying firms and promises a new level of accountability. It signals a clear shift in favour of fairer, more transparent business relationships, giving SMEs the respect, reliability, and liquidity they need to grow.
📈Economy set to exceed growth forecasts
The UK economy is projected to grow by 1% in 2025, surpassing earlier forecasts which suggests that the economy would expand by just 0.8%. EY Item Club, which offered the upgraded forecast, highlighted a “flurry of business spending” as companies rushed to complete orders before US tariffs took effect in April. Matt Swannell, chief economic adviser to the EY Item Club, said that while there was a boost in Q1, overall momentum over 2025 is expected to be “relatively meagre” due to ongoing uncertainties from trade wars and potential tax increases that will mean activity remains “subdued.”
🌪UK economy caught in a ‘doom loop’
Elsewhere however, Ray Dalio, the founder of hedge fund Bridgewater Associates, has warned that the UK is trapped in a “doom loop” of rising debts, higher taxes, and slower growth. Mr Dalio argues that increasing taxes to cover borrowing costs will drive wealthy individuals away, leading to a “deterioration in conditions.” He added that fixing Britain’s debt crisis means “difficult choices are going to have to be made.”
😨IMF: UK faces ‘significant challenges’
The International Monetary Fund (IMF) has warned that Chancellor Rachel Reeves faces “significant challenges” in delivering the Government’s pro-growth agenda, with the UK’s “limited” headroom on its public finances meaning “fiscal rules could easily be breached if growth disappoints or interest rate shocks materialise.” The IMF praised the UK’s fiscal plans, saying they “strike a good balance between supporting growth and safeguarding fiscal sustainability,” but warned that Ms Reeves may have to consider increasing taxes or reducing spending. It also suggested that ministers could scrap the pension triple lock or start charging for the NHS. The IMF expects the UK economy to grow by 1.2% this year and 1.4% in 2026. Ms Reeves said the IMF report “confirms that the choices we’ve taken have ensured Britain’s economic recovery is under way,” adding that the Government’s fiscal rules will enable ministers to tackle “deep-rooted” economic challenges by “investing in Britain’s renewal.”
💼Tax raid has hit the jobs market
Economists at the EY Item Club have warned that a hike in employers National Insurance is having a negative impact on the jobs market, saying that unemployment will rise to 5% by the end of the year. Official figures show that the rate is currently at 4.7%. The EY report also forecasts that inflation is set to stay above 3% for the rest of this year and will only return to the Bank of England’s 2% target in late 2026.
🏢Business leaders call for workers’ rights amendments
Seven leading industry bodies have urged MPs to accept amendments to the Employment Rights Bill, saying changes proposed by the House of Lords will ease some of the burdens firms face when new workers’ rights come into force. Peers have called for the removal of a provision that would protect workers from unfair dismissal at “day one” of employment and suggested MPs should vote to retain a turnout threshold of 50% of union members voting in a ballot for it to be valid. Jane Gratton of the British Chambers of Commerce said ministers must accept the proposed changes if they want businesses to help “grow the economy and create more opportunities for people across the country,” while David Hale, government affairs director at the Federation of Small Businesses, said it is “essential” that ministers accept the amendments. Alex Hall-Chen of the Institute of Directors said the amendments “will go a considerable way to stemming the negative impacts that the Bill’s measures are already having on employers’ appetite to hire.” Matthew Percival, future of work and skills director at the Confederation of British Industry, said the Bill is “having a chilling impact on the labour market.
🖥 AI could eliminate certain roles
Geoffrey Hinton, known as the ‘Godfather of AI’, has raised alarms about the rapid advancement of AI and its potential to eliminate entire job categories. In a recent episode of Diary of a CEO, he warned: “The real danger isn’t that AI will fail to do your job. It’s that it will do it better — and cheaper.” Mr Hinton predicts that many roles, particularly those involving basic reasoning, writing, and analysis, could be automated by mid-2027. He advises individuals to focus on developing skills that leverage human strengths, like empathy and creativity, so as to remain irreplaceable in an AI-driven world.
⚖️Ministers urged to boost British jobs
The Chancellor has told ministers to ensure Government contracts go to companies that will boost British jobs, saying that “people around the UK” need to “feel the full impact of Government spending through investment in skills and high-quality jobs.” In a letter to cabinet ministers, Rachel Reeves and Pat McFadden, Chancellor to the Duchy of Lancaster, said they must “ensure the creation of British jobs, productivity-enhancing opportunities, and skills are prioritised in every major contract.” This comes after Office for National Statistics data showed that the number of employees on the payroll dropped by around 41,000 in June, while the unemployment rate climbed to four-year high of 4.7%.
🛍️Retail sales rebound in June
Retail sales volumes were up by 0.9% in June, rebounding from a 2.8% fall in May. Sales in food stores were up 0.7% in June, while fuel sales rose 2.8%. The Office for National Statistics data also shows that sales increased by 0.2% between April and June compared with the previous three months. Jacqueline Windsor, head of retail at PwC UK, noted that England’s warmest June on record “discouraged shoppers from visiting high streets, with footfall declining and online retail sales penetration increasing.” Jacqui Baker, head of retail at RSM UK, noted that consumer confidence “ticked up” in June but warned that “nervousness among consumers persists, and the unexpected rise in inflation won’t have helped,” while Matt Swannell, chief economic adviser to the EY Item Club, cautioned that the sales bounce-back “masks a challenging backdrop” for the UK economy.
💰Wealthy warned that tax hikes are likely
Although Prime Minister Keir Starmer and Chancellor Rachel Reeves have refused to rule out bringing in a wealth tax in the Budget, the Independent’s Andrew Grice says that the introduction of such a levy is unlikely. He says a wealth tax would be complex and take years to introduce, with Dan Neidle, founder of Tax Policy Associates, saying a tax on wealth would “lower long-run growth and employment … make UK businesses more fragile and less competitive, and create strong incentives for capital reallocation and migration.” Mr Grice suggests that Ms Reeves could consider options that “are close to being a wealth tax,” such as increasing capital gains tax, raising the top rate of income tax or bringing in higher council tax bands for the most expensive properties. He says that while he does not expect to see a wealth tax, “the Budget will increase existing taxes on the wealthy.”
📈Markets
📈 On Friday, the FTSE 100 closed down 0.2% at 9,120.31 with some profit taking and the Euro Stoxx 50 closed down 0.06% at 5,352.16. Over in the US the S&P 500 rose 0.40% to 6,388.64 and the NASDAQ rose 0.24% to 21,108.32.
IMF has suggested the Bank of England can ease interest rates gradually arguing that a flexible approach remained appropriate. The IMF also cautioned that Reeves fiscal strategy leaved limited room for manoeuvre.
NatWest said it would achieve a 16.5% return on equity and revised annual income higher to £16bn from £15.5bn. The board hiked the dividend 58% to 9.5p and announced a £750m share buyback
Over in the US, President Trump said he had a good meeting with Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell and got the impression the central bank was ready to lower interest rates.
Intel shares fell heavily in the US after it reported weak earnings and its plan to cut costs which were seen as giving up on its R&D in chip making.
💱This morning on currencies, the pound is currently worth $1.341 and €1.1495 .
On Commodities, 🛢️Oil (Brent) is at $69.05 & 💰Gold is at $3,337.
📈On the stock markets, the FTSE 100 is currently up 0.1% at 9130 and the Eurostoxx 50 is up 0.9% at 5400.
European stocks have risen and US stock futures are up after the US and the EU reached a trade agreement that set a lower-than-threatened 15% tariff on most goods, including cars. The trade deal between the two biggest trading blocks ends a months-long standoff. The US tariff on all EU goods of 15% is half the 30% import tax rate Trump had threatened to implement starting on Friday. He said the 27-member bloc would open its markets to US exporters with zero per cent tariffs on certain products.
The EU agreed to buy $750 billion of American energy products and invest $600 billion in the US on top of existing spending, Trump said. The 15% tariff rate will apply to EU pharmaceuticals.
💷The hidden costs of saving
Savers and investors are facing increasing tax burdens despite existing tax breaks designed to encourage wealth growth. The Government has raised £50bn from savings and investments in the last tax year, while tax reliefs on pensions and ISAs remain untouched. It is noted that the £20,000 ISA allowance has been frozen since 2017, saving the Government an estimated £605m annually. Critics say that with rising capital gains tax and inheritance tax implications for pensions, the landscape for savers is becoming increasingly complex and costly.
😨Risk fear holds back investing
A new survey by Interactive Investor shows that millions of Britons are missing out on long-term investment returns because they prefer to keep their money in cash. Around 58% of adults say they cannot face short-term losses and therefore avoid investing, even though a third – around 9m people – are financially able to take some risk. This widespread aversion means 71% of those surveyed hold no investments beyond their pension, and Britain now has the lowest levels of share ownership outside pensions in the G7. Data from the Bank of England shows that £280bn is sitting in bank accounts earning no interest while inflation erodes its value. Chancellor Rachel Reeves has launched a campaign to promote retail investing.
💼Pensions face inheritance tax shake-up
As of April 2027, pension pots will be included in the estate for inheritance tax purposes, with ministers concerned that pensions were too often being used to avoid tax. Currently, money left in a pension can be passed on free of inheritance tax. The changes will see executors bear the responsibility of contacting pension firms to determine the value of the deceased’s pension pots and ensure tax obligations are met. This process could prolong the estate settlement for over a year. Steve Webb, a former Pensions Minister, has warned of the burden on grieving families, saying: “They will instead be faced with many months of additional bureaucracy that will make the process of bereavement all the more painful to endure.”
💣Britain faces ‘pension poverty time bomb’
Analysis suggests that changes to tax policies have led to a 20% decline in retirement savings over six months. According to the House Money Index, the average monthly pension contribution has decreased from £65.10 in December to £53.40 this month, marking the first six-month drop in two years. Kara Gammell, a personal finance expert at MoneySuperMarket, said: “People are reducing their private and workplace pension contributions, perhaps to help offset rising costs and stretched household finances.” Shadow Pensions Secretary Helen Whately has warned that Britain “is facing a pension poverty time bomb of Labour’s making,” accusing ministers of “squeezing the public with more taxes and higher bills.” John O’Connell, chief executive at the TaxPayers’ Alliance said: “Sky-high taxes and soaring living costs mean hard-pressed households are dipping into their retirement savings just to stay afloat.”
💷Fine warning as HMRC deadline nears
HMRC is set to impose fines of up to £1,600 for those who miss the self-assessment tax return deadline on July 31. According to Updraft, the number of individuals failing to meet these deadlines has risen significantly, with 1.1m missing the filing deadline in the last two tax years. Aseem Munshi, founder of Updraft, highlighted that “it’s not just penalties that hit late taxpayers, but interest charges can quietly cost even more over time.” Since 2020, HMRC has charged £513m in interest on late income tax payments, emphasising the financial impact of missed deadlines. The initial penalty for late payment is £100, with this escalating over time and potentially hitting more than £1,600.
👪 Pensions tax raid could hit family firms
Experts have warned that higher inheritance tax bills could see thousands of family businesses struggle or even collapse. As of 2027, unspent pensions will be dragged into the inheritance tax net and accountants have warned that this will hit businesses that run their own individual pension schemes. The move will also mean many families will see bills of up to 67% when inheritance tax and income tax are both payable, while some could pay over 90%. Gary Smith of Evelyn Partners said the changes are “indirectly a further attack on business owners,” who have already seen an increase in National Insurance contributions and their shares become subject to inheritance tax as of April 2026. A Treasury spokesman said: “We continue to incentivise pensions savings for their intended purpose – of funding retirement instead of them being openly used as a vehicle to transfer wealth – and more than 90% of estates each year will continue to pay no inheritance tax after these and other changes.”
💰Gen X and Millennials set for Great Wealth Transfer
Analysis by investment firm Aberdeen shows that £5trn will be inherited in Britain over the next 30 years, with millennials and Generation X set to benefit from what has been dubbed the Great Wealth Transfer. The Resolution Foundation calculates that eight out of every ten adults over 50 in Britain now expect to leave an inheritance of some kind, while data shows that Baby Boomers – those born between 1946 and 1964 – are the richest generation there has ever been. In Britain, half of those in this bracket have more than £500,000 in assets, while a quarter have more than £1m. Alex Brummer in the Mail suggests that the generational transfer of assets will see calls for punitive wealth taxes “become ever louder.” He notes that inheritance tax receipts already hit £8.2bn in the year to April 2025, up from £7.5bn in the 2023/24 tax year. The total is forecast to hit £9bn by 2026/27.
💻Age verification
The UK’s new age verification rules for tech platforms has come into force. Ofcom, the media regulator, now requires tech companies to prevent under-18s from accessing “harmful” content, including pornography and material related to self-harm or suicide. Non-compliant companies risk fines of up to £18m or 10% of global turnover, whichever the greater.
👛12% of high earners with no inheritance ‘trapped’ by outgoings
Research for wealth manager Killik & Co shows that 12% of those with a salary over £100,000 but no inheritance feel “trapped” by their current financial commitments. Despite high salaries, 44% do not feel that they are able to comfortably meet their monthly financial commitments, while 18% say their outgoings cause them stress and anxiety. More than a quarter (26%) said their financial commitments are denting their savings. Analysis of their outgoings shows that 36% have credit card debt to pay. On financial planning, 56% of those polled only plan a year ahead and just 3% plan more than five years in advance. Will Stevens, head of wealth planning at Killik & Co, said: “If they are not due an inheritance, it’s clear even those on six figures and above are struggling to build up savings to ensure longer-term financial stability for their family.”
🏠High rents see landlords return
The buy-to-let market is witnessing a resurgence, with 58,347 new mortgages approved in the first quarter of the year, marking a 39% increase compared to Q1 2024, according to UK Finance. Data shows that average yields across England and Wales have risen to 7.1%. Aaron Strutt from Trinity Financial highlights that many new landlords are now professionals using limited companies for tax advantages. He commented: “With so many people struggling to get on the property ladder and a real shortage of affordable rentals in many areas, landlords are keen to buy and so benefit from higher rents.”
🏠House price growth to halve, warns Rightmove
The number of homes for sale reached a 10-year high in June, prompting property experts to revise their growth forecast for 2025 from 4% to 2%. According to Rightmove, estate agents had an average of 65 homes on their books, with sellers waiting over two months to find buyers. The average asking price fell by £4,531, or 1.2%, to £373,709 in July, marking the largest seasonal decline since 2002. Despite the challenging conditions, sales agreed were 5% higher than last year, and the Bank of England is expected to cut interest rates, which may further lower mortgage rates.
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➕Why you should become a member of CPA!
The Credit Protection Association (CPA) has been assisting thousands of UK businesses to get paid, since 1914. We have supported our members through all sorts of difficult trading environments. With high interest rates and a struggling economy and elevated insolvencies, our services can help your business navigate these difficult waters.
Unlike other credit management and debt collection companies, we offer a range of services to our members that are all included as part of a fixed annual subscription, tailored to your needs.
Under your annual subscription you will have access to our main services:
- Our Creditcare credit reports provide credit ratings and limits along with a host of detailed information on your potential customers to enable you to trade with confidence and set appropriate credit policies for new customers.
- Our monitoring service will alert you to any significant changes in the status of those customers.
- ️Our Overdue account recovery service can be used to chase up payment on any invoices to those customers that have not been paid on time. Unlike other debt collection companies, this service directs your customer to pay direct to you and allows you to maintain your goodwill with them, rather than inserting ourselves into your relationship with you customer and insisting they pay CPA instead. Our Overdue account recovery service resolves over 80% of accounts referred to us.
All of the above services and other complimentary services such address verification, are included in your subscription!
And for the small minority of debts not resolved through our Overdue account recovery service, you can refer the debt to our collections department to escalate the late payment collections process.
CPA eases cash from tardy debtors – Efficiently, Effectively, Economically and Ethically. And we provide credit information so you can monitor and assess your key customers and be warned of any potential risks. CPA has been improving business cash flow for over 100 years, by tackling late payers and campaigning against the late payment culture in the UK.
Unlike other credit management companies, we offer our members a fixed annual subscription regardless of how high the value of their debts maybe!
Rather than to borrowing more money to improve your cashflow, CPA suggests that business owners tackle the problem at its source. If late payments are a strain on your cashflow, then talk to CPA about how we can help you reduce those late payments.
Just ☎️ call Peter Uwins, CPA’s National Sales Manager, on 020 8846 0000 (business hours) or 💻 email nsm@cpa.co.uk today.
When you see your money come in, you will be so glad you used CPA.
️ The Credit Protection Association – Prompting Punctual Payments – Ethical, Effective, Efficient, Economical collections
Do you have a commercial late payer that is causing you grief? Use CPA’s no-win, no-fee, commercial debt recovery service!
If you have a particular business customer who is late paying and causing you sleepless nights, why not offer it to CPA’s collection department for purchase on recourse?
CPA’s collection department will then pursue the debt. We will be liable for any costs incurred and then when we have recovered the debt, we will pay you the net principle debt recovered less our percentage.
Once you have enjoyed that success then you can consider the more cost effective membership which includes our Overdue Account Recovery service and Status/Credit reports as well as a range of other complimentary services.
Just call ☎️ 020 8846 0000 and ask for Godfrey Nelson or Cris Shirley (business hours) or 💻email debtpurchase@cpa.co.uk today.
️ The Credit Protection Association – Prompting Punctual Payments – Ethical, Effective, Efficient, Economical collections.
Get compensated for previous late payments
Have you been paid late by business customers in the last six years?
Maybe you no longer work with them. Under ⚖️ legislation, you are entitled to compensation you for those late payments you have suffered.
You put up with the PAIN – now claim the GAIN!
Claim late payment compensation (LPC) from former business customers who paid you late in the last six years!
CPA (LPC) Recoveries is using our bespoke software and decades of experience to do just that for our clients
Check our compensation calculator to see how much your business could be owed!
Discover NOW the potential value of late payment compensation hidden in your sales ledger!
️ The Credit Protection Association – Prompting Punctual Payments – Ethical, Effective, Efficient, Economical collections.