Business news 12 May 2025
Confidence plummets amid employment reforms. New immigration rules. US-UK trade deal. Tariffs the EU reset, IMF, recycling, infrastructure, red tape, markets, insolvencies & more business news that we thought would interest our members.
James Salmon, Operations Director.
Please note: on the 19/3/25 CPA moved after 45 years on King Street, to new offices a couple of miles down the road at Profile West, 950 Great West Road, Brentford, TW8 9ES.
Confidence plummets amid employment reforms
Angela Rayner’s Employment Rights Bill is causing significant concern among employers, leading to a record low in business confidence. According to a survey by the Chartered Institute of Personnel and Development (CIPD), only 25% of bosses expect to increase their workforce in the next three months. A quarter of employers are planning redundancies, with fears surrounding the new regulations. James Cockett, a CIPD economist, said: “The Employment Rights Bill is landing in a fundamentally different landscape.” Separate analysis by BDO showed UK employment plunged to a 12-year low after Chancellor Rachel Reeves hiked National Insurance contributions and introduced a minimum wage increase. Finally, a survey by KPMG and the Recruitment and Employment Confederation indicates a weakening demand for staff. Neil Carberry, chief executive of the REC, urged the Government to reconsider the reforms, stating that “the biggest single drag factor on activity right now is uncertainty.”
Labour proposes new immigration rules
Migrants in the UK will face new regulations requiring them to reside in the country for a decade before applying for citizenship, alongside increased English language requirements. Sir Keir Starmer stated that “every area” of the immigration system will be “tightened up” to reduce net migration, which reached 728,000 last year. A forthcoming Immigration White Paper will introduce stricter criteria for skilled worker visas, necessitating a university degree, and will close the care worker visa to overseas recruitment. The PM will also unveil plans to tighten legislation that allows courts to grant asylum to foreign criminals and illegal migrants under the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR). The Government promised to cut 50,000 lower-skilled visas this year. Some industries, such as construction, will still be able to recruit from abroad during a transition period; others will have to train people in Britain instead. Specifically, the Home Secretary, Yvette Cooper announced that care homes will be barred from recruiting foreign staff from overseas from later this year, and will instead be required to hire foreign workers who are already in the UK or British staff.
US-UK trade deal no ‘great achievement’
Nobel Prize-winning economist Joseph Stiglitz has argued that the trade deal between the UK and the US was not a “great achievement” and “isn’t worth the paper it’s written on”. Stiglitz told Sky News: “I would view it as playing into Trump’s strategy. His strategy is divide and conquer, go after the weakest countries, and sort of put the stronger countries in the back.” Elsewhere, Anders Fogh Rasmussen, a former prime minister of Denmark and former secretary general of NATO, proposes in a piece for the Guardian that a new block of countries should be established to “shield each other from the threats of economic nationalism and coercion.” The EU, the UK, Canada, Australia, New Zealand, Japan, and South Korea – dubbed the “Democratic 7”, or “D7” – could counter Trump’s “ever-escalating trade war” using a NATO-style Article 5 clause, which “would ensure that coercion against one D7 member triggers an immediate, proportional response from all.”
UK to use DST as leverage in future trade talks
Britain is optimistic about reaching a deal to eliminate President Donald Trump’s remaining tariffs within months, leveraging its £800m Digital Services Tax (DST) as a “bargaining chip.” The recent agreement, hailed as “historic,” reduces tariffs on British cars from 27.5% to 10% and on steel from 25% to zero, while the UK will lower tariffs on US agricultural exports. Ongoing discussions will address the digital services tax, which has been described as “discriminatory” by the US. Peter Navarro, Trump’s trade adviser, said such taxes had “spread like a bad virus around the world, but it started in Europe, and it basically targets American companies”.
Tariffs not causing ‘dramatic’ shift in UK economy
Huw Pill, the chief economist at the Bank of England, has said recent tariffs and trade uncertainties are not causing a “dramatic shift” in the UK economy. Following the Bank’s decision to cut interest rates to 4.25% and revise its economic growth outlook, Pill stressed that trade disruptions will “weigh on growth” but the overall inflation impact remains “ambiguous.” He noted: “There are other forces that may be more long-lasting and underlying in the UK economy itself,” pointing to trends like wage growth. Pill, who opposed the rate cut, advocated for a “gradual and careful” approach to monetary policy, especially in light of the new UK-US trade agreement that aims to remove tariffs on UK metals and reduce car levies. He cautioned against “misleading views” regarding the trade deal’s macroeconomic effects.
Labour’s EU reset puts Brexit progress at risk
Bob Lyddon, a financial expert and founder of Lyddon Consulting Services, has expressed concern over Labour’s focus on re-engaging with the EU, arguing it could undermine the progress made on forging trade deals since Brexit. He believes the new trade deals are a testament to the UK’s decision to leave the EU and without Brexit “the UK would have been sucked further into the vortex of the euro.” He adds: “Trump’s analysis is fundamentally correct: the EU – and still more the Eurozone – is a protectionist regime… It is not a free market, it is inward-looking, stagnating and drowning in debt.” He goes on to ask: “Why would the UK want to emulate that, or allow its rules and practices to seep any further into what we do here?”
Mel Stride: Labour’s budget threatens small businesses
Shadow Chancellor Mel Stride writes in the Sunday Express on the impact of Labour’s budget on small businesses. He recounts a meeting with Tony Brown, owner of Beales, who said: “We’re shutting our doors because of Labour’s Budget.” The 140-year-old department store is closing its last location in Poole, resulting in 30 job losses due to increased costs from National Insurance and business rates. Stride stressed that Labour’s economic policies are harming the very businesses that create jobs, stating: “You can’t support working people without supporting the businesses that employ them.” He warns that without urgent support, many more businesses will face closure, leading to a bleak future for Britain’s high streets.
IMF to scrutinise Labour’s fiscal strategy
The Mail’s Alex Brummer reports on how an inspection team from the International Monetary Fund is coming to check on the UK economy this week, with the body expected to focus on the Chancellor’s fiscal rules and whether they are sufficiently robust to keep Britain’s rising borrowing and debt under control. The IMF’s visit marks its first since Labour’s July takeover and will delve into the Government’s Budget and growth strategy. Concerns have been raised regarding the UK’s high levels of economic inactivity, with 9.2m working-aged individuals not participating in the labour market. Rachel Reeves is under pressure to address the issue. The IMF is reportedly supportive of the Government’s public sector investment focus but warns of insufficient headroom to meet spending targets
Workers’ rights bill threatens national security
The Deputy Prime Minister’s proposal to grant workers automatic rights to flexible working arrangements has raised alarms regarding national security. Peers, including Lord Sharpe of Epsom, have cautioned that the Bill could hinder the operations of security services, stating: “The need for immediate action, tight schedules and often secretive operations simply cannot be fully compatible with the predictability that flexible working arrangements might demand.” The legislation aims to limit employers’ ability to refuse such requests, potentially impacting businesses and economic growth. In addition to flexible working, the Bill includes measures against zero-hour contracts and ensures full employment rights from day one. Baroness Meyer expressed concerns that the Bill could lead to economic instability reminiscent of the 1970s. A government spokesperson defended the initiative, claiming it represents the most significant upgrade to workers’ rights in a generation.
Businesses face criminal charges over recycling
Under new net zero regulations introduced by Labour, businesses in England with 10 or more employees face potential criminal charges for failing to properly separate their recycling. The guidelines require workplaces to rinse items like food tins and drink bottles before disposal to ensure effective recycling. Joe Robertson, a Conservative MP, says the policy is an example of the “nanny state,” stating: “Labour’s ‘simpler recycling’ guidance is anything but simple.” The rules apply to various organisations, including offices, shops, and schools, and non-compliance could lead to fines, with the public encouraged to report violations.
FCA considers lifting contactless cap
The deadline to submit a response to the Financial Conduct Authority’s consultation on raising the £100 contactless limit has now passed. The review comes amid rising food inflation and aims to provide “greater flexibility” for firms and customers, aligning the UK with the US, where no fixed limit exists. In October 2024, contactless payments accounted for 65% of credit card and 77% of debit card transactions, with 1.6bn transactions recorded. However, concerns about fraud persist, as higher limits could increase losses for victims of stolen cards. A spokesman for UK Finance said: “We are continuing to speak to the FCA to understand their thinking and plans.”
Weight loss jabs could boost economy by £4.5bn
The UK economy stands to gain over £4.5bn by facilitating access to weight loss jabs for the obese, with an estimated 4m individuals eligible for NHS prescriptions. Health Secretary Wes Streeting commented: “These drugs could have colossal clout in our fight to tackle obesity and get unemployed Britons back to work.” The National Institute for Health and Care Excellence has been urged to consider broader societal benefits beyond just health and cost-effectiveness. A recent study presented at the European Congress on Obesity revealed that the jabs could enhance annual net production by £1,127 per person, primarily by reducing sick days and increasing productivity.
Labour told to cut red tape and tax to boost Britain’s 5G coverage
The UK’s main mobile networks are urging Labour to cut taxes to help boost investment in Britain’s 5G coverage. EE, Virgin Media O2, Vodafone and Three are calling for spectrum licence fees, which cost the industry roughly £320m a year, to be funnelled back into the network rather than handed over to the Treasury. They also want a business rates holiday on new mobile masts and reform of planning laws to make it easier to expand and upgrade mobile infrastructure.
Post Office exploited by criminals to launder cash
The Post Office is being exploited by criminals using it to launder money, according to the National Crime Agency (NCA). The National Economic Crime Centre (NECC) estimates that hundreds of millions of pounds are laundered each year through the chain’s Everyday Banking service, with illicit cash deposited into bank accounts linked to front businesses like car washes and nail bars. While the Post Office plays a crucial role in providing banking services, it is also seen as having fewer controls, making it attractive to criminals. The Post Office said it trains staff to identify suspicious activities and collaborates with banks to mitigate risks.
Mortgage rates tracking down
Interest rates in the UK are declining, prompting many mortgage borrowers to consider their options as they approach the end of their fixed-rate deals. According to UK Finance, approximately 1.6m of the 7.1m households on fixed rates will need to switch this year. With the Bank of England recently cutting rates for the fourth time since August, further reductions are anticipated, with Morgan Stanley analysts predicting a fall to 3.25% by the end of the year.
Markets
Friday, the FTSE 100 closed up 0.39% at 5309.74 and the Euro Stoxx 50 closed up 0.27% at 8554.80. Over in the US the S&P 500 fell 0.07% to 5659.91 and the NASDAQ was flat at 17928.92.
This morning on currencies, the pound is currently worth $1.318 and €1.186. On Commodities, Oil (Brent) is at $65.35 & Gold is at $3225. On the stock markets, the FTSE 100 is currently up 0.04% at 8559 and the Eurostoxx 50 is up 1.35% at 5382.
President Trump said last week an “80% tariffs on China seems right” and has let the actual negotiation in the hands of US Treasury Sec Scott Bessent. Over the weekend the nations agreed to cut tariffs by 115% for 90 days while talks continued. China will cut tariffs from 125% to 10% and the US will cut them from 145% to 30%.
Call for pension funds to back Britain
Sir Nicholas Lyons, chairman of Phoenix, has called for UK pension funds to be “named and shamed” if they fail to invest in British companies. Lyons proposes a lifetime cap on cash Isas of £50,000 and urges Chancellor Rachel Reeves to link tax relief on pensions to UK investments. While some firms have committed to investing 5% of workplace pension savings into unlisted equities by 2030, overall investment remains low. He warns against mandatory targets, suggesting that the threat of such measures may encourage funds to invest more.
UK statistics chief Ian Diamond quits
Sir Ian Diamond, the head of the Office for National Statistics, has stepped down citing health reasons. His departure comes as the agency is scrutinised for a series of errors in economic indicators, alongside delays to data publication. The reliability of the ONS’s flagship jobs survey has been of particular concern, with MPs and the Bank of England worried they could not use its figures at all. A review announced in April will look into the ONS’s delivery of core statistics and major programmes, its organisational culture, structure and leadership and its relationships with the Cabinet Office and HM Treasury.
Car finance industry sees record growth
The car finance sector experienced its most significant increase in new lending in over three years, with approximately 240,000 vehicles financed in March, marking an 11% rise from the previous year. The Finance and Leasing Association (FLA) reported that car loans worth £5.15bn were approved, an 18% increase year-on-year. This surge occurred amid an investigation by the Financial Conduct Authority (FCA) into undisclosed commissions paid to dealers, which could lead to substantial compensation claims. Benjamin Toms from Royal Bank of Canada Capital estimates potential liabilities could reach £17.8bn. The FLA attributed the rise in financed car sales to new registration plates and pre-tax increase purchases. Interest rates have also decreased, making borrowing more affordable, with average rates for new car loans falling from 6.6% to 5.4%.
British Airways
British Airways owner IAG unveiled plans to buy 71 long-haul aircraft from Airbus and Boeing, sharing a major fleet expansion across the Atlantic a day after Britain and the US announced a trade deal. The airline group announced a new order for 32 Boeing 787-10 aircraft for British Airways, and 21 Airbus A330-900neo aircraft. It also disclosed for the first time options exercised in March for six Airbus A350-900s, as well as six Airbus A350-1000s and six Boeing 777-9s.
Zara boss demands end to fast-fashion tax loophole
Oscar Garcia Maceiras, head of Zara’s parent company, has urged for a US-style crackdown on small goods shipments in Europe to create a “level playing field” for European firms against Chinese competitors like Shein and Temu. These companies have exploited a tax loophole known as ‘de minimis’, allowing them to import small goods without customs duties. Maceiras said: “What we have been asking for is a level playing field… in order to have the same set of rules for any single competitors.” Other retail leaders, including George Weston of Associated British Foods and Simon Roberts of Sainsbury’s, have echoed this sentiment, highlighting the need to close the loophole to protect British businesses from potential market disruptions.
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Why you should become a member of CPA!
The Credit Protection Association (CPA) has been assisting thousands of UK businesses to get paid, since 1914. We have supported our members through all sorts of difficult trading environments. With high interest rates and a struggling economy and elevated insolvencies, our services can help your business navigate these difficult waters.
Unlike other credit management and debt collection companies, we offer a range of services to our members that are all included as part of a fixed annual subscription, tailored to your needs.
Under your annual subscription you will have access to our main services:
- Our Creditcare credit reports provide credit ratings and limits along with a host of detailed information on your potential customers to enable you to trade with confidence and set appropriate credit policies for new customers.
- Our monitoring service will alert you to any significant changes in the status of those customers.
- Our Overdue account recovery service can be used to chase up payment on any invoices to those customers that have not been paid on time. Unlike other debt collection companies, this service directs your customer to pay direct to you and allows you to maintain your goodwill with them, rather than inserting ourselves into your relationship with you customer and insisting they pay CPA instead. Our Overdue account recovery service resolves over 80% of accounts referred to us.
All of the above services and other complimentary services such address verification, are included in your subscription!
And for the small minority of debts not resolved through our Overdue account recovery service, you can refer the debt to our collections department to escalate the late payment collections process.
CPA eases cash from tardy debtors – Efficiently, Effectively, Economically and Ethically. And we provide credit information so you can monitor and assess your key customers and be warned of any potential risks. CPA has been improving business cash flow for over 100 years, by tackling late payers and campaigning against the late payment culture in the UK.
Unlike other credit management companies, we offer our members a fixed annual subscription regardless of how high the value of their debts maybe!
Rather than to borrowing more money to improve your cashflow, CPA suggests that business owners tackle the problem at its source. If late payments are a strain on your cashflow, then talk to CPA about how we can help you reduce those late payments.
Just call Peter Uwins, CPA’s National Sales Manager, on 020 8846 0000 (business hours) or email nsm@cpa.co.uk today.
When you see your money come in, you will be so glad you used CPA.
The Credit Protection Association – Prompting Punctual Payments – Ethical, Effective, Efficient, Economical collections
Do you have a commercial late payer that is causing you grief? Use CPA’s no-win, no-fee, commercial debt recovery service!
If you have a particular business customer who is late paying and causing you sleepless nights, why not offer it to CPA’s collection department for purchase on recourse?
CPA’s collection department will then pursue the debt. We will be liable for any costs incurred and then when we have recovered the debt, we will pay you the net principle debt recovered less our percentage.
Once you have enjoyed that success then you can consider the more cost effective membership which includes our Overdue Account Recovery service and Status/Credit reports as well as a range of other complimentary services.
Just call 020 8846 0000 and ask for Godfrey Nelson or Cris Shirley (business hours) or email debtpurchase@cpa.co.uk today.
The Credit Protection Association – Prompting Punctual Payments – Ethical, Effective, Efficient, Economical collections.
Get compensated for previous late payments
Have you been paid late by business customers in the last six years?
Maybe you no longer work with them. Under legislation, you are entitled to compensation you for those late payments you have suffered.
You put up with the PAIN – now claim the GAIN!
Claim late payment compensation (LPC) from former business customers who paid you late in the last six years!
CPA (LPC) Recoveries is using our bespoke software and decades of experience to do just that for our clients
Check our compensation calculator to see how much your business could be owed!
Discover NOW the potential value of late payment compensation hidden in your sales ledger!