Unemployment Levels To Fall To 44 Year Low

5th December 2017.

Unemployment will fall to a 44-year low in 2018, taking the jobless rate to its lowest since 1974, says new figures.

According to new forecasts from the Confederation of British Industry (CBI), unemployment rates will fall to just 3.9 per cent next year.

The cost of living will be mollified, with pay growth edging up, and inflation slipping back.

CBI forecasts that despite these improvements in the economy, overall economic growth will remain flat, at  1.5 per cent in 2018 and 1.3 per cent in 2019.

“Jobs are still being created, so the strong levels of employment will support consumption growth,” said Rain Newton-Smith, the CBI’s chief economist, adding that households are saving less to pay for some of that extra spending.

Newton-Smith was disappointed with business investment growth over the coming year, forecasting just   1.2 per cent in 2018 before recovering partially to 1.6 per cent in 2019.

Any growth will depend on Brexit however, and she insists a transition agreement by Christmas is key.

“As every month ticks by, the UK is losing some jobs and investment here,” Ms Newton-Smith said. A shortage of skills and the prospect of lower net immigration is also hitting investment, she said.

The CBI does expect exports to keep rising by 3 per cent next year, boosting GDP and helping to rebalance the economy a little.

That chimes with a survey from EEF, the manufacturing industry group, which shows strong export demand aiding the economy. (Please see our news article for more info)

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